01 / DET VS ARI
Jahmyr Gibbs
3+ catches
80%EXPLORATORY ESTIMATE
Behind the pick +
Expected average: 5 catches. Based on 4 prior games.
Archived analyst scenario. Conditional on an ordinary workload; not calibrated.
INDEPENDENT BUILDER · SELECTED WORK
Ideas, made
tangible.
I turn curiosity into things you can use.
Interactive products. Experiments with data. A little design, a lot of figuring it out.
Explore the workDESIGN × TECHNOLOGY × CURIOSITYSCROLL TO EXPLORE ↓
A piece of
your own.
A grillz configurator that makes a custom piece feel real before it exists. Pick individual teeth, explore materials, and build a design that is yours.
Open the configuratorGRILLZ STUDIOWORKING DEMO
28 individual teeth. Mixed materials. 96 opal colors.
Immediate previews, fit guidance, and shareable designs.
Product design · Interaction · Visual systems
Portfolio demonstration · Ordering disabled
Find the signal.
Football research, distilled into a focused set of game and player picks. The strongest estimates, the reasoning behind them, and the limits of what we know.
Explore the picksTHE.PREDICTOR / NFL
Sunday edition
October 11, 2026
A preserved pregame forecast from the research archive. These are not today’s picks.
02 / DET VS ARI
Sam LaPorta
25+ receiving yards
85%EXPLORATORY ESTIMATE
Behind the pick +
Expected average: 60 receiving yards. Based on 4 prior games.
Archived analyst scenario. Conditional on an ordinary workload; not calibrated.
03 / SF VS SEA
Brock Purdy
175+ passing yards
80%EXPLORATORY ESTIMATE
Behind the pick +
Expected average: 245 passing yards. Based on 4 prior games.
Archived analyst scenario. Conditional on an ordinary workload; not calibrated.
04 / NO VS MIN
Chris Olave
5+ catches
75%EXPLORATORY ESTIMATE
Behind the pick +
Expected average: 7.5 catches. Based on 4 prior games.
Archived analyst scenario. Conditional on an ordinary workload; not calibrated.
05 / ARI VS DET
Trey McBride
5+ catches
80%EXPLORATORY ESTIMATE
Behind the pick +
Expected average: 8 catches. Based on 4 prior games.
Archived analyst scenario. Conditional on an ordinary workload; not calibrated.
06 / IND VS PIT
Jonathan Taylor
1+ rushing / receiving TD
60%EXPLORATORY ESTIMATE
Behind the pick +
Expected average: 0.9 rushing / receiving TD. Based on 4 prior games.
Archived analyst scenario. Conditional on an ordinary workload; not calibrated.
READ THE NUMBER CORRECTLY
Estimates apply to the exact threshold shown. They are experimental and uncalibrated, assume the player is active with an ordinary workload, and are not guarantees.
How the research works +
Two clearly labeled methods
The October 11 archive preserves the original analyst scenarios. New scheduled editions use a separate four-game baseline derived from THE.PREDICTOR’s research. The baseline does not reproduce the manual scouting adjustments.
Game leans rank by projected score separation, with a three-point minimum. Player picks rank by estimated probability at the displayed threshold, with one selection per player.
Evidence before certainty
Only earlier completed games are used. Incomplete player histories are excluded. Chosen distribution assumptions are not calibrated confidence. Injuries, current lineups, and changing roles remain limitations.
The historical geometry experiment did not pass its improvement tests and is not promoted here. The web baseline has no completed out-of-sample validation period or measured hit rate to report.
Player data: nflverse ↗Schedule data: nflverse ↗
Published Oct 10, 6:24 PM PDT · Evidence through 2026-10-08 · Archived analyst scenarios · October 2026
A SET RHYTHMThree editions.
Three editions.
One week.
SUNDAY GAMESSaturday 9 pm
MONDAY GAMESMonday 8 am
THURSDAY GAMESThursday 8 am
All times Pacific. Picks are frozen between editions. No live revisions.
AIDAN NILE ROOT / APPROACH
Curiosity is
the starting point.
I’m interested in the space between an idea and a working thing.
My work brings together design, code, data, and AI-assisted development. The goal is to make something useful—and make the thinking behind it visible.
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